If This, Then That
What the UP verdict portends for the ‘Ra’ one
- 60-70 If Congress gets around 60-70 seats in UP—and also wins in Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur—it could be status quo at the Centre with the expectation that Rahul will take over at a later date. Manmohan Singh will continue as prime minister as the party will argue that it can manage despite his image slipping.
- 100 If Congress crosses the threshold of 100 seats, then the clamour for Rahul to take over and lead the party into the 2014 polls will attain its own momentum. The crown prince would become king, eclipsing other power centres, with his team gaining control over old-timers in the party.
- 30-40 If the Congress flops in UP, getting just 30-40 seats (up from the existing 22), the state Congress outfit and some party leaders will take the rap. There won’t be direct attacks on Rahul, but the clamour for his sister Priyanka to take over will rise....