13 June, 2021

Red Heat, White Heat

With the Left shooting itself in the foot, it looks like a UDF run

Vivek R. Nair
Red Heat, White Heat
outlookindia.com
-0001-11-30T00:00:00+05:53
Number of constituencies: 20 Polling date: April 16

Trends & Key Issues

  • The Congress-led UDF is on a strong wicket.
  • The Left-led LDF is fighting anti-incumbency.
  • The allegations of corruption against defence minister A.K. Antony in the Israeli missile deal failed to take off and is unlikely to impact the UDF prospects.
  • The divide within the CPI(M) has disillusioned the cadre.
  • The church is ranged against the Left.
  • The Ezhava community and the Nairs are pro-UDF.

***

As the battle drums fell silent in Kerala on April 14, the Malayalam New Year or Vishu, an air of expectation hung over the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). In the run-up to the elections, pollsters have been predicting a clean sweep for the UDF. Their forecast: a very healthy 15 for the UDF, five for the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF). One poll even gave 18 seats to the UDF and just two to the LDF, an exact...

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