Trends & Key Issues
- The Congress-led UDF is on a strong wicket.
- The Left-led LDF is fighting anti-incumbency.
- The allegations of corruption against defence minister A.K. Antony in the Israeli missile deal failed to take off and is unlikely to impact the UDF prospects.
- The divide within the CPI(M) has disillusioned the cadre.
- The church is ranged against the Left.
- The Ezhava community and the Nairs are pro-UDF.
***As the battle drums fell silent in Kerala on April 14, the Malayalam New Year or Vishu, an air of expectation hung over the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). In the run-up to the elections, pollsters have been predicting a clean sweep for the UDF. Their forecast: a very healthy 15 for the UDF, five for the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF). One poll even gave 18 seats to the UDF and just two to the LDF, an exact...