25 November, 2020

'We Have To Count Up To 60 Crore, That’s When It Will Stop'

In an interview with Outlook, Jayaprakash Muliyil, leading epidemiologist and former principal of Vellore Christian Medical College, explains his theoretical preference for ‘herd immunity’.

Mayan doomsday portrait
A mural from the Mexican state of Chiapas. Smallpox, measles, influenza, typhus, yellow fever...epidemics introduced by the European colonisers in the New World decimated 90 per cent of Maya and Aztec who had never encountered these germs and lacked immunity against them.
'We Have To Count Up To 60 Crore, That’s When It Will Stop'
outlookindia.com
2020-06-13T13:57:12+05:30

Jayaprakash Muliyil is the chief contrarian in India’s epidemic story—who famously prophesies two million deaths post-lockdown. Leading epidemiologist, former principal of Vellore Christian Medical College, chairman of the scientific advisory committee of the National Institute of Epidemiology…he explains his theoretical preference for ‘herd immunity’ to Preetha Nair.

We are in Unlock 1.0 and alr­eady seeing almost 10,000 daily cases….

Those are people who are positive. It possibly doesn’t mean they are sick. Everybody gets viral infection, all of them are not sick. Over 80 per cent are sub-clinical cases. We call them ‘case’. We keep counting them, we have to count up to 60 crore, that’s when it will stop. I think fear is what troubling us. Fear causes stigma, stigma makes you unjust and unfair. But all this is the natural trajectory of an epidemic. We are mostly rural, so it will slow there, then it will come down. Next year, this...

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